marketpulse-trajectory

MarketPulse Trajectory — Bayesian Multi-Cutoff Training Dataset Overview Multi-horizon GRPO training dataset for calibrated forecasting from prediction markets. Each market contributes 3–6 training examples at different points in its lifetime, capturing how evidence accumulates and beliefs evolve toward resolution. Key design principle: no market price in the prompt. The model must reason from question text, background, resolution criteria, time horizon, and retrieved… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/PolyAgent/marketpulse-trajectory.