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Data is All You Need: Markov Chain Car-Following (MC-CF) Model

Description

Car-following behavior is fundamental to traffic flow theory, yet traditional models often fail to capture the stochasticity of naturalistic driving. This paper introduces a new car-following modeling category called the empirical probabilistic paradigm, which bypasses conventional parametric assumptions. Within this paradigm, we propose the Markov Chain Car-Following (MC-CF) model, which represents state transitions as a Markov process and predicts behavior by randomly sampling accelerations fr

Source

http://arxiv.org/abs/2603.27909v1